Vélez de San Ramón vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez de San Ramón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
VSR
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VSR
2 - 3
SAR
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
VSR
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
VSR
0 - 1
MIT
14%
22%
64%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
VSR
1 - 2
SOL
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GIM
3 - 1
SOL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
GIM
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 1
CFE
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
GIM
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 0
TEX
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |