Vélez CF vs Los Molinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
1 - 3
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUE
84%
11%
4%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
MAL
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
VEL
7 - 1
ALQ
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Los Molinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MOL
1 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
UDS
2 - 0
MOL
58%
23%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
EST
0 - 3
MOL
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MOL
3 - 2
UDM
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
MOL
0 - 0
HUE
54%
23%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |