Vélez CF vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
UDS
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
NIJ
2 - 1
VEL
63%
23%
15%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
0 - 0
EST
13%
22%
65%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 2
VEL
22%
24%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
LOJ
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
UDS
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 4
LOJ
34%
28%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 2
LOJ
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |