Vélez CF vs CD Manchego Ciudad Real analysis

Vélez CF CD Manchego Ciudad Real
43 ELO 42
2.2% Tilt -7.2%
5859º General ELO ranking 5424º
189º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
57.4%
Vélez CF
23.7%
Draw
18.9%
CD Manchego Ciudad Real

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
Vélez CF
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vélez CF
-47%
+7%
CD Manchego Ciudad Real

Points and table prediction

Vélez CF
Their league position
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
17º
17º
41
11º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sevilla At.
66
66
100%
Yeclano Deportivo
60
60
100%
Marbella FC
56
56
100%
Orihuela CF
54
54
100%
Betis Deportivo
53
53
100%
CD Estepona
49
49
100%
Águilas FC
48
48
100%
UCAM Murcia
47
47
100%
RB Linense
47
47
100%
FC La Unión Atl.
11º
43
46
10º
100%
Atlético Antoniano
10º
46
46
11º
100%
Cádiz CF Mirandilla
12º
42
42
12º
100%
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
14º
40
40
14º
100%
San Roque de Lepe
16º
36
36
15º
100%
El Palo FC
15º
36
36
16º
100%
Vélez CF
17º
29
32
17º
100%
FC Cartagena B
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vélez CF
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Vélez CF
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vélez CF
Vélez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
AGU
Águilas FC
1 - 0
Vélez CF
VEL
51%
25%
24%
44 48 4 0
25 Feb. 2024
VEL
Vélez CF
2 - 2
Yeclano Deportivo
YEC
25%
27%
48%
44 54 10 0
18 Feb. 2024
BET
Betis Deportivo
2 - 0
Vélez CF
VEL
62%
21%
18%
44 49 5 0
11 Feb. 2024
VEL
Vélez CF
0 - 4
FC La Unión Atl.
LAU
65%
21%
14%
45 39 6 -1
04 Feb. 2024
ANT
Atlético Antoniano
0 - 0
Vélez CF
VEL
24%
25%
51%
46 38 8 -1

Matches

CD Manchego Ciudad Real
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
CDC
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
1 - 1
Sevilla At.
SEV
17%
28%
55%
41 55 14 0
25 Feb. 2024
SRQ
San Roque de Lepe
1 - 1
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
CDC
59%
24%
16%
41 47 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
CDC
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
0 - 0
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
MAR
35%
30%
35%
41 44 3 0
11 Feb. 2024
BAL
RB Linense
1 - 1
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
CDC
74%
18%
8%
40 53 13 +1
03 Feb. 2024
CDC
CD Manchego Ciudad Real
1 - 1
Cádiz CF Mirandilla
CAD
30%
29%
41%
39 45 6 +1
X