Vélez CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
EST
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
VEL
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
UDS
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MOL
2 - 4
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 2
UDM
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
UDS
1 - 0
MAN
26%
28%
46%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 0
MOL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
UDM
0 - 1
MAN
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
HUE
79%
15%
6%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |