Vélez CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
VEL
41%
26%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
JUV
73%
16%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATA
0 - 0
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 1
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 4
VEL
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAS
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
6 - 0
ALH
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |