Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Velež Mostar vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
VEL
18%
27%
55%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 3
ZRI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 0
ZEL
16%
26%
58%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZEL
4 - 1
SLO
71%
20%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ZVI
2 - 3
ZEL
13%
19%
69%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZEL
19%
25%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZEL
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |