Europa League 1/32
Global 3-3
Velež Mostar vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
VEL
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAT
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
TAT
4 - 2
VEL
52%
20%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
VEL
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 1
SPA
89%
7%
3%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 2
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
3 - 4
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |