Velež Mostar vs Sloga Meridian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
8º
5º
5
8º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
23.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 41% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
IGM
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 3
VEL
17%
26%
57%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 2
VEL
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
ZEL
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sloga Meridian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
SIR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SLO
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 1
SLO
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 3
SAR
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |