Velež Mostar vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
9º
3º
46
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BBL
2 - 0
VEL
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 6
VEL
6%
15%
79%
|
74 | 22 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 2
SLO
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
IGM
2 - 4
VEL
20%
29%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
ZEL
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TMS
1 - 1
POS
14%
18%
68%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 2
POS
26%
26%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
0 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |