Velež Mostar vs Posušje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
9º
3º
46
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZBE
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
BBL
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
ZEL
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IGM
1 - 1
POS
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |