Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-5
Velež Mostar vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
VEL
84%
10%
7%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
VEL
3 - 2
VAS
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 2
VEL
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 1
LOK
30%
25%
46%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 1
VEL
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
VEL
84%
10%
7%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 0
B19
87%
9%
5%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
B19
1 - 0
LSO
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
ETA
1 - 1
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
LSO
2 - 3
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |