Velež Mostar vs Leotar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
6º
34
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
ZEL
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 2
VEL
18%
27%
55%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leotar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 0
ZEL
16%
26%
58%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BBL
2 - 0
LEO
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 1
IGM
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |