Velež Mostar vs Kozara Gradiška analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
VEL
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
SLA
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
ČEL
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
VEL
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
SLA
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kozara Gradiška
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KOZ
0 - 0
GOS
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SLO
1 - 0
KOZ
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
KOZ
0 - 1
BBL
21%
29%
51%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MLA
2 - 3
KOZ
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
KOZ
1 - 1
LAK
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |