Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Velež Mostar vs HNK Branitelj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 1
ZVI
53%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ZEL
4 - 1
VEL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
ZRI
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
1 - 3
OSA
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ZRI
1 - 0
VEL
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Branitelj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
GOR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
KRA
2 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
RUD
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
ORA
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
KRA
3 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |