Velež Mostar vs Borac Banja Luka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
6º
58
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
VEL
37%
29%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 1
ZRI
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 2
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
LEO
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Borac Banja Luka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZEL
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
BBL
1 - 0
IGM
75%
18%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 3
BBL
32%
28%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BBL
0 - 3
ZRI
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
BBL
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |