Europa League 1/32
Global 6-2
Velež Mostar vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
VEL
2 - 1
BVB
38%
22%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
BVB
2 - 0
VEL
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
SIO
3 - 0
VEL
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
VEL
5 - 0
SIO
39%
22%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
VEL
4 - 3
LSO
42%
24%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
HJK
3 - 2
APO
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
APO
1 - 0
HJK
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
LSO
4 - 2
APO
75%
14%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
APO
2 - 2
LSO
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SER
3 - 1
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |