Velbert vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 4
ABI
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 4
VEL
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 3
VIK
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
WER
1 - 2
VEL
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 3
ERN
64%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
1 - 1
WHE
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 5
ABI
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MSV
5 - 0
WHE
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 0
VIK
13%
21%
66%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +1 |