Velbert vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 2
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOR
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AAA
1 - 2
VEL
29%
24%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
WUP
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
WEG
0 - 1
SWE
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2001 |
BOR
2 - 1
WEG
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
WEG
1 - 3
AAA
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
WUP
3 - 3
WEG
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
WEG
0 - 3
DIE
27%
27%
46%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |