Velbert vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 4
BOR
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
WEG
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
VEL
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
VIK
2 - 0
WEG
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
2 - 1
VIK
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIK
5 - 0
ERN
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIK
0 - 0
ROD
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 1
VIK
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |