Velbert vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ADL
3 - 2
VEL
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 1
WUP
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
BFR
4 - 2
VEL
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -3 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
BOR
1 - 3
VEL
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
VEL
3 - 3
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VIK
5 - 0
SWE
46%
26%
29%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
BOR
7 - 0
VIK
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
VIK
1 - 3
AAA
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 2
VIK
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
WUP
1 - 1
VIK
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |