Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 2
VEL
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
3 - 0
SPE
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
STR
2 - 0
VEL
36%
21%
43%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 1
WUL
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 0
KFC
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 0
KFI
45%
23%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 2
SFB
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TSV
3 - 4
VFB
68%
19%
14%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
VFB
6 - 2
SCH
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |