Velbert vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
VEL
15%
18%
67%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
0 - 0
VEL
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
DUS
2 - 1
VEL
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VFB
4 - 1
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 1
SFB
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SFB
3 - 4
SWE
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
JDH
0 - 2
SFB
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SFB
1 - 1
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SFB
4 - 0
KFI
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |