Velbert vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
JDH
1 - 2
VEL
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 3
CRO
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
DUS
61%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
KFI
1 - 4
VEL
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SFB
0 - 4
VEL
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
DUS
2 - 1
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SWE
5 - 4
SFB
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 2
SWE
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 1
SWE
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SWE
3 - 2
SCH
35%
23%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |