Velbert vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 2
AAA
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BSC
0 - 2
VEL
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 2
SWE
47%
26%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 2
BOR
40%
27%
33%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 3
WUP
25%
26%
49%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
HAM
0 - 1
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SWE
0 - 2
FCB
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |