Velbert vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
VEL
60%
20%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WEG
2 - 6
VEL
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 2
WAT
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ERN
1 - 2
VEL
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ROD
4 - 1
VEL
45%
23%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 0
WEG
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
ROT
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
9 - 1
ERN
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROD
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 0
F95
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |