Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DUS
3 - 3
VEL
24%
22%
53%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 0
SFB
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JDH
1 - 1
VEL
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
5 - 0
KAP
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 1
NIE
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MSV
4 - 0
SON
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOS
2 - 2
MSV
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCB
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
HIL
3 - 3
MSV
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MSV
0 - 0
GRA
61%
19%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |