Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
KLE
1 - 2
VEL
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 1
DIE
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
STR
0 - 1
VEL
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
VFB
61%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
DUS
0 - 2
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 2
FOR
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GEW
1 - 0
MSV
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
KLE
3 - 1
MSV
55%
23%
23%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 1
DIE
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
STR
5 - 5
MSV
26%
24%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |