Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WEG
2 - 4
VEL
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 0
VEL
19%
22%
58%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 1
SWE
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 2
AAA
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
MSV
0 - 2
SWE
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
BOR
2 - 1
MSV
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MSV
6 - 0
AAA
38%
25%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
WUP
6 - 2
MSV
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
MSV
2 - 8
DIE
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |