Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
WEG
4 - 1
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
VEL
0 - 0
BFR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
STR
1 - 2
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
VEL
3 - 2
VIK
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
VEL
0 - 2
ARB
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | -4 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 2
MSV
42%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MSV
2 - 1
FOR
49%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 2
ADL
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
WUP
2 - 2
MSV
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2000 |
FOR
3 - 4
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |