Velbert vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
HAM
3 - 3
VEL
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 3
FCB
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 1
VEL
18%
22%
59%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
VEL
3 - 2
BSC
70%
19%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
RHE
2 - 1
VEL
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
OSN
2 - 2
M05
25%
25%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2003 |
M05
2 - 1
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2003 |
AAA
2 - 2
M05
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
M05
2 - 1
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
EBT
1 - 4
M05
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |