Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 2
VEL
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
WUP
1 - 1
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 4
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
DUS
3 - 0
VEL
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VEL
1 - 0
VFB
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
4 - 1
VFB
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
AAA
1 - 0
DIE
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
DIE
0 - 0
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
USO
0 - 3
DIE
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 0
DIE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |