Velbert vs Hilden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
1º
8º
2º
7
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 75 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 60 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 57 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 55 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 53 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 46 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 42 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 33 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
SCH
34%
22%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SON
0 - 4
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
VEL
5 - 2
BSC
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DUS
1 - 3
VEL
10%
17%
73%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 1
WUP
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
3 - 0
SON
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 4
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 0
H05
62%
20%
19%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 1
VFL
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HIL
5 - 3
SSC
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |