Velbert vs Hilden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 3
VEL
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
1FC
1 - 0
VEL
27%
20%
53%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SWE
3 - 2
VEL
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 2
MEE
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JDH
3 - 4
VEL
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HIL
2 - 0
KLE
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HIL
1 - 0
FSV
75%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
HIL
2 - 2
CRO
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
DUS
2 - 0
HIL
24%
21%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HIL
3 - 2
GRA
41%
23%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |