Velbert vs Hilden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 3
VEL
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 0
SWE
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RWO
2 - 1
VEL
47%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 4
WUP
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 2
VEL
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HIL
1 - 0
SON
62%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BOS
3 - 2
HIL
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HIL
1 - 1
FCB
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HIL
4 - 1
NIE
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GRA
3 - 2
HIL
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |