Velbert vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
5 - 0
WEG
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 2
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOR
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AAA
1 - 2
VEL
29%
24%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
HAM
1 - 0
RHE
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIK
3 - 1
HAM
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
HAM
3 - 1
ADL
33%
25%
43%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
WUP
2 - 0
HAM
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
HAM
1 - 9
BFR
46%
25%
30%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -2 |