Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
VEL
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 0
BOR
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
FOR
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
WUP
3 - 1
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIK
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIE
2 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |