Velbert vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 0
VEL
28%
22%
51%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
3 - 2
TEU
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
KLE
1 - 0
VEL
21%
21%
59%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
3 - 2
SFB
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
3 - 3
VEL
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
3 - 3
FSV
50%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SFN
5 - 1
CRO
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 0
NET
51%
21%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DUS
1 - 1
CRO
73%
16%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
4 - 0
JDH
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +3 |