Velbert vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 1
DUS
61%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
KFI
1 - 4
VEL
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SFB
0 - 4
VEL
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 1
DUS
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
3 - 1
VFB
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 3
KFI
26%
22%
51%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DUS
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VFB
2 - 2
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 2
SFB
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 2
SCH
20%
20%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |