Velbert vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AAA
2 - 3
VEL
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 3
RWA
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
VEL
65%
21%
15%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
VIK
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VER
2 - 0
VEL
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
VER
0 - 3
BOR
22%
26%
53%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 5
BOR
24%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 2
DIE
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
WIE
0 - 0
BOR
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 0
BOR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |