Velbert vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
USO
3 - 3
VEL
26%
26%
49%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
SWE
39%
26%
36%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
BSC
2 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
4 - 1
DUR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
KFC
2 - 0
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
VFB
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
AAA
1 - 1
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
BER
1 - 0
DUS
36%
27%
37%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
BER
3 - 0
USO
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SWE
3 - 2
BER
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |