Velbert vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
DIE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BSC
0 - 2
VEL
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
RHE
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
BOR
2 - 2
AAA
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
WUP
3 - 2
AAA
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AAA
4 - 2
DIE
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +6 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
HAM
1 - 0
AAA
35%
24%
42%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
AAA
0 - 1
FCB
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |