UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Velbazhd vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbazhd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
UCD
3 - 3
VEL
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
SVA
5 - 3
VEL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
VEL
1 - 0
NEF
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
LOV
3 - 1
VEL
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
VEL
2 - 1
BEL
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2000 |
UCD
3 - 3
VEL
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
DRO
0 - 5
UCD
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
UCD
2 - 1
WAT
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
BOH
1 - 2
UCD
56%
27%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
UCD
1 - 1
SHR
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |