Velarde CF vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOJ
1 - 0
VEL
35%
25%
40%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATM
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VLE
2 - 3
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 3
RIN
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
RAM
1 - 1
VEL
54%
22%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
NOJ
1 - 2
CAS
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
6 - 1
MER
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 3
CAS
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
3 - 1
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |