Vejgaard vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
83.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vejgaard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AAL
1 - 4
VEJ
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VEJ
3 - 1
HOL
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 3
VEJ
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIK
1 - 0
VEJ
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VEJ
1 - 1
OFA
41%
23%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
ESB
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
HBK
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ESB
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |