Vegalta Sendai vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vegalta Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
VEG
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VEG
0 - 0
KAW
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 3
VEG
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VEG
2 - 1
SON
75%
18%
8%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEG
2 - 1
CER
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
2 - 2
SHI
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
AVI
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 3
VEG
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
KUS
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OMI
0 - 2
AVI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |