Vega Real vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
7º
6º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 2
AVR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 1
AVR
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 1
UNI
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
AVR
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
AVR
52%
27%
21%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MOC
0 - 1
AFC
35%
30%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 0
MOC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 6
MOC
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
MOC
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 0
UNI
36%
30%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |