Vega Real vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
7º
6º
14
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 1
DEP
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
AFC
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 1
AVR
59%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
DEP
4 - 1
AVR
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 4
DEP
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 4
AFC
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CFC
5 - 1
JAR
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
JAR
3 - 0
SCR
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 0
JAR
46%
29%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 0
JAR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |