Vega Real vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 0
AVR
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVR
0 - 1
DEP
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
MOC
0 - 0
AVR
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 1
AVR
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 0
UNI
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOC
2 - 1
JAR
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DEP
3 - 1
JAR
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 0
JAR
48%
27%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 1
CFC
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |