Vega Real vs Jarabacoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
MOC
0 - 3
AVR
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 3
ASF
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 3
AFC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 3
AVR
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 1
DEP
42%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jarabacoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
JAR
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
JAR
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
JAR
0 - 1
ASF
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 2
JAR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
IRD
0 - 2
JAR
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |